So, you just finished filling out your bracket for the NCAA Tournament and feel pretty confident that Duke will win it all, or get to the Final Four.

Bad news for you, sonny.

Every year come tournament time, people get all excited about Duke. Most people pick them to go far in the tournament. After all, it’s Duke. The Devils are awesome. Well, not really.

Sure, they are a lock to advance to the Sweet 16. They do that regularly.

But after that, they get a little shaky. Last year, they fell to Michigan State in the Sweet 16 round, and the general consensus had them in the Final Four. In 2003, they lost to Kansas in the Sweet 16. In 2002, they lost to Indiana in the Sweet 16. OK, maybe you get the point by now.

This year will be no different, so if you’ve already picked them to advance to the Final Four, you might as well scratch that line off your bracket.

The Dukies play in Greensboro, N.C., in the first two rounds without much competition. They’ll advance to the Sweet 16 without J.J. Redick breaking a sweat on that pretty little forehead of his. He won’t even get to flash his arrogant smile. Frankly, I feel for him.

Because when they get to the next weekend, the Devils will have to beat LSU and Texas to advance to the Final Four. Not going to happen. The Tigers match up well with Duke’s size and have far more athleticism than Duke in the backcourt.

If J.J. shoots out of his mind and the Devils advance, the Longhorns will be there to meet them. Texas has a few more good players than Duke and might just run them out of the building. Unless, of course, Coach K scowls at the officials. Nah, even that won’t help.

Now on to Duke’s ACC brethren, North Carolina and Boston College. The Tar Heels emerged as one of the better teams in the country despite losing their top seven scorers from last year’s national championship team. Roy Williams has his team playing well. The Heels would make it to the Final Four if they didn’t have Connecticut in their bracket. As for the Eagles, they seem to be the favorite team to pick to win the Minneapolis region. Apparently, nobody realizes the talent of Villanova. The Wildcats have four talented guards. That will take them a long way in the tournament. Besides, Nevada has returned all five starters from a team that won a tournament game last year. The Eagles probably won’t even sniff the Sweet 16.

So who will make it to this year’s Final Four?

Washington region: The UConn Huskies have a tremendous point guard, a streaky senior shooter, an athletic freshman off the bench, an experienced big man, a shot blocker. Not to mention the best all-around player in the country when Rudy Gay feels like being that man. They will win it all.

Minneapolis region: The Florida Gators started the season as hot as any team in the country before hitting a wall in SEC competition. Florida plays the half-court game well. They can shoot and pound it inside. On defense, they can adjust to any offense. Corey Brewer is the best defender in the country who doesn’t block shots.

Oakland region: This is the weakest region in the tournament. No. 1 seed Memphis has been playing soft competition for the last two months. Kansas is the consensus pick, but the Jayhawks are young and not dependable to advance to the Final Four. Here, the pick is Pittsburgh, who is deep enough and athletic enough to make a run.

Atlanta region: The pick here is Duke. Wait, sorry. Been looking at too many faulty brackets. See above for this region. The Longhorns.